Okay okay, that wasn’t one of my better puns, forgive me.
After this past weekend, we’ve had 8 MLG Qualifiers and one more to go. Fortunately for those players that are qualifying via points, P4K Mew2King ended up winning Pat’s House 2. As a repeat champion, this opens up yet another slot for point qualifiers.
Recap
So far, we’ve had 5 unique champions out of the 8 events. These 5 players are:
1. P4K Mew2king
2. C9|Mang0
3. Curse.Hungrybox
4. Leffen
5. Remen
In addition, two players, EMP Armada (3000 pts), and VGBC| aMSa (2560pts), have accumulated enough points to earn a spot into the Final Bracket, pending some freak accident.
6. EMP Armada
7. VGBC|aMSa
Fight for the Final 5!
This leaves us with 5 slots left that will be in hot contention at SKTAR3. Thanks to Keith Geiman (kjgeiman) for compiling the chart below.
MLG Qualifying Points as of 5/27/2014 (For players attending SKTAR 3).
Note: it should be “virtually” guarantee. Since after all, this isn’t a full “100%” guarantee.
Westballz, MIOM|SFAT, and MMG|Shroomed did decently well at Pat’s House 2 putting them in the running for the qualifying spots. Westballz has a minor edge overall, finishing 4th, where as SFAT finished 5th and Shroomed finished 7th. EG|PPMD, although considered a powerhouse, will have to do tons of make up work, starting at 0 points going into the weekend. It’s important to note that KirbyKaze will not be in attendance and Ice is also standing at 1800 points. If everyone does poorly, then Ice will earn a spot into the Final Bracket. Based on relatively normal scenarios, 2200 points should be enough to secure a spot. In the case that three random players get top 3 at SKTAR3, then that will change everything. However Armada, Mang0, M2K, and PP will all be in attendance, so we will safely eliminate that possibility.
Tafo’s Predictions
8. SS|Soft – It would be silly to say S0ft will not make it. Placing 49th will give him 2200 points overall.
9. EG|PPMD – Not the most comfortable pick for me, but he should be in shape to place top 3 to get 2200 points. In order to do so, he will need to win at least 1 set against Armada, C9.Mang0, or P4K Mew2King.
10. VGBC|Hax – With 1200 points, he has one of the best shots at getting in. He has been struggling as of late, losing to players such as Arc in sets, but it’s hard to bet against Hax, who has been so consistent for years.
11. CT|ZeR0 – Initially, I didn’t think ZeRo was that great of a melee player. After observing him at Pat’s House 2 and taking Fly Amanita to game 5/last stock, I think 17th place is definitely doable for ZeRo. Even a 25th place finish, will give him 2040 points, which still gives him a decent chance of qualifying.
12. MMG|Shroomed – This was really tough, given that Shroomed only has 560 points. However, Shroomed has performed repeatedly well at nationals. The stakes are higher with these matches. Although many others commonly succumb to pressure, Shroomed has demonstrated on many occasions that nerves rarely get the best of him.
What do you guys think? Who will qualify for the final spots? Bring the discussion to twitter with the hashtag #MLGQuals
MIOM|Tafokints
Where is Fly?
Fly is not going to SKTAR, so he’s capped at 880 pts
Never mind. Guess his absence means he’s not attending sktar
Beat me to my self response :p
Don’t forget that we also saw Zer0 lose to someone who couldn’t make it on the NorCal power ranking -.-
Is DJ Nintendo not going to SKTAR/in the running?
The gods take top 4
PP gets 3rd+ at SKTAR = 2200 points or Auto
Soft for 33rd = 2300
Zero for 17th = 2240
Shroomed for 5th or 7th = 2160 or 1960
Hax gets 9th, 7th, or 5th = 2300, 2600, 2800
SFAT gets 5th or 7th = 2240 or 2040
Westballz gets 5th or 7th = 2320 or 2120
Nintendude 9th = 1820
Scenario 1: PP gets 3rd. Soft, Zero, Hax qualify and if SFAT or Westballz gets 5th, they qualify. If both get 5th, they PP does not qualify. Shroomed must get 5th with neither Westballz nor SFAT getting 5th.
Scenario 2: PP gets 2nd. Soft, Zero, Hax, PP qualify, and Westballz qualifies if he gets 5th. SFAT and Zero tie for points if SFAT gets 5th (how does this work?)
So my prediction: Soft, Zero, Hax, and either two of the Cali boys or one Cali boy and PP. I cannot see Soft getting worse than 33rd; however, I can see Zero getting worse than 17th. That would open up the spot for either PP to qualify with a 3rd place with SFAT, shroomed, or Westballz if ONE of them gets top 5, or PP not qualifying if both SFAT and Westballz get top 5.
Any of this math wrong?
[…] The Point Situation can be found here. […]
This leaves us with 5 slots left -> oh, I thought it was just 8 slots? So is it 10 in total? Nice!
meant to wrote 12, wrote 10 lol
Who is Remen? I keep up with the pro scene decently well, but I’ve never heard of him. He didn’t make it on the top 100 list…